Image copyright Getty Images Labour"s opinion poll rating is at its lowest since 1983 but that doesn"t mean it"s on course to lose most of its seats.
A study published by the Fabian Society has looked at how many seats Labour could lose at a general election if it performed in line with recent opinion polls which have put it as low as 24%, compared with 31% at the general election. The analysis suggested a loss of around 40 seats compared with 2015, when it won 232.
The calculation assumes a uniform swing across all constituencies in Britain.
If the study had included the most up-to-date polls, the figure would have been a little bit lower – perhaps around 25 to 30 Labour losses.
Either way, one interesting question is why the number isn"t higher.
Len McCluskey, head of the Unite union and one of Jeremy Corbyn"s strongest backers, says the current performance is “awful”.
Yet the figures suggest that despite the current low standing, a large majority of Labour..
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